I keep checking the data every day and hoping that our recent trend of increasing cases is slowing. Unfortunately, the epi curves in Northeast Tennessee look less like curves and more like straight vertical lines at this point. From July 1 to July 18 the region increased by a total of 858 COVID-19 cases. Active cases increased by 608 during this time.
Yesterday, Sullivan County experienced its largest single-day increase in cases to date (40). Washington County had our largest increase 3 days ago of 28 cases. I've had questions about whether the increase in positive cases is because we are testing more. Unfortunately, our positivity rate (the percentage of total tests that are positive) is also increasing.
Positivity Rates
Note: The more local you get, the more difficult the daily rates are to interpret. For example, in Washington County, the days with spikes over 30% very few tests were conducted. On May 20, only 3 tests were reported and 1 was positive. I haven't figured the total Northeast regional positive rates yet because frankly it's time consuming the way the data are provided. I will try to work on that in a future update.
Here are the regional active cases:
And the county new cases with the 14 day trend per 100,000 county residents. Carter, Sullivan, and Washington are now in the red zones.
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